The 2007 Computer
Generated Projected Finish (“CGPF”)
The
following are the Mighty Computer’s projected
standings at the conclusion of our 9-game regular season, based upon a completely-computer-generated
analysis of this year's league. As many of
you know, multiple quantitative measures are used as inputs to determine the CGPF, including:
·
Individual hitting ability;
·
Individual defensive ability;
·
Individual and team athleticism;
·
Individual attendance history;
·
Difficulty of schedule;
·
Team chemistry;
·
Individual cooler strength;
·
Team cooler strength;
·
Age of children, if any;
·
Spousal understanding/support, if any;
·
Jobs/careers of players;
As
many now also know, the Mighty Computer
brings a 76.8% accuracy rating in predicting the regular season outcomes of our
softball and basketball leagues, going back to 2002, including predicting last
year's regular season-end leader Team MCarbs.
However,
the margin of error of this year's CGPF was significantly higher than average
and I believe this can be attributed to two things:
·
There are more than 20 new players, an all-time
high (which is good)
·
Bill Moss completed the post-season evaluation
of his team from last year while drunk (which is bad).
|
Team
|
Score
|
CGPF
|
|
Roche
|
65.5
|
1
|
|
Phelan
|
67.1
|
2
|
|
Kelly
|
68.5
|
3
|
|
Hughes
|
71.5
|
T-4
|
|
Neylon
|
71.5
|
T-4
|
|
Cisko
|
73.0
|
6
|
|
McGovern
|
74.8
|
7
|
|
Walton
|
74.9
|
8
|
|
Krokos
|
75.8
|
9
|
|
Carberry
|
77.5
|
10
|
|
Schumacher
|
78.7
|
11
|
|
Moss*
|
82.8
|
12
|
* Special Note: Bill Moss’ drunken disregard for the
importance of the 2006 post-season evaluation played absolutely no role in the
outcome of this year's projections. The
computer swears by it.
Standings after Week 1
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
Team ERA
|
|
Carberry
|
1
|
0
|
3.0
|
|
Kelly
|
1
|
0
|
3.0
|
|
Krokos
|
1
|
0
|
6.0
|
|
Phelan
|
1
|
0
|
6.0
|
|
Moss
|
1
|
0
|
7.0
|
|
Walton
|
1
|
0
|
9.0
|
|
Hughes
|
0
|
1
|
7.0
|
|
Neylon
|
0
|
1
|
7.0
|
|
Schumacher
|
0
|
1
|
13.0
|
|
Roche
|
0
|
1
|
20.0
|
|
McGovern
|
0
|
1
|
22.0
|
|
Cisko
|
0
|
1
|
24.0
|
Game 1 Recaps
Lawn Manor North:
Moss 24, Cisko 7
Captain Bill Moss avenged his 2006
meteoric flame-out by putting a sound ass-whuppin' on Team Cisko. Team Moss put up 5 in the 1st and never looked
back, lead by monsters-at-the-plate Dan Dwyer, Mike Patrick, and the sweet
swingin' Ted “Sweaty Teddy” Moran. Moss
dominated defensively as well and caught almost everything Cisko hit, with
pitcher Kevin Lyons posting his usual solid game – and his just as usual questionable
base-running skills. Captain Bill Moss continues his life-long slump at the
plate, but also continues to swear-to-God that he made the All-Star team in
Little League once.
Cisko team captain Craig Cisko didn’t
have much too report, although he continues to be upbeat about his team’s
chances, despite strong evidence that his mad-scientist experiment of drafting
the Washington Redskins’ offensive line to play outfield is failing
miserably. “Nowhere to go but up,” a
seemingly dazed Cisko was heard muttering after the game.
Web-gem nomination goes to Moss’ 2B Mike Linane who put down a beautiful sweeping
tag on a blistering throw from CF Dan Dwyer to rob the speedy Paul Chocola of a
double. Umpire Mike Carberry called an excellent
game, threatening to eject Bill Moss and Cisko’s Larry Daly several times for
making calls before he did and questioning his authority.
Lawn Manor South: Walton 20, Roche 9
After Walton jumped out to a quick 3-0 lead, Team Roche
showed veteran moxy and their pre-season #1 form by bouncing back with a 6 spot
of their own in the 2nd. But
it was all Walton from there, starting with a bases-clearing double by Shawn
Murphy that started a 6-run 3rd.
Defensively Walton was lead by veteran pitcher and Web-gem
nominee John Leahy who stabbed 2 line drives at the pitching mound and doubled 2 Roche
player off first base (for those keeping tabs, that’s 2 cases of beer next
week). Umpire Jim Pavesic was outstanding
as usual behind the plate.
PIE Southeast: Kelly
22, McGovern 3
Team Kelly dominated this game
from both sides of the plate, but it was their defense that told the
story. Pitcher Kevin Connors threw a
gem, and the infield of Bill Brown, Matt Hansen, Dan Manzo, Ken Botta, and Matt
Evans locked everything down, even turning a double play on the 2nd
pitch of the season. Team Kelly got big
hits from just about everyone on the roster, with a highlight homerun from team
captain Sean Kelly – which is not a typo - and which prompted Jim
McGovern to immediately demand that Kelly provide a urine sample. Matt Hansen also homered for Kelly, but at
least that’s believable.
Team McGovern was lead on the mound by captain and rookie
pitcher Jim “I’m good at bean-bags, which is kinda the same” McGovern, who was
rocked harder than a 46-year old bleached blonde at a White Snake concert. McGovern did have one highlight to start the
game when veteran Matt Glavas christened his return to the league (after a
several-year absence) with a line-shot single to start the game, only to be
doubled-up on a grounder by John “I’ll
bring 12 Lite / 12 Bud Light” Rolence.
Bob Apato will also help slake Team McGovern’s collective thirsts next
week due to a base-running gaffe that most 6 yr-olds don’t make anymore.
Web-gem nomination goes to Kelly’s LF Frank Finnegan who made a
terrific diving catch of a sinking liner to preserve an extremely important
17-run lead. Mike Shannon called a nice
game behind the plate, excepting for his 4th inning absence due to
"unspecified intestinal issues."
PIE Southwest: Carberry
13, Schumacher 3
Team
Carberry's timely hitting and Team Schumacher's humorous defense were the
highlights in this colorful, if not entertaining, Purple on Orange
battle. Carberry's hit parade was lead
by first-year player Joe Hynes, second-year up-and-comer BJ Phelan, and veteran
Jim Hayes who had some clutch RBIs. Joe Hynes also anchored 3B for
Carberry, snagging a line drive in the bottom of the 1st
to start a double-play that killed a Schumacher comeback. Also starring for Carberry were John
"the Vacuum" Travnik (SS) and Mike Conway (1B)
who took over for Jerry Carberry due to poor play. Carberry’s energetic fan base of John
Gallagher, Tom Emerson, and Bill Phelan, Sr. also proved formidable.
Schumacher
got a few highlights from Pat Knytych, who marked his return to the league with
a few hits for the Orange,
and Bob Pavesic tried to spark a valiant yet fruitless comeback attempt with a
hit and some "fearless" base-running.
Schumacher pitcher Mark Kosiek deserved better support as he threw a
fine game, and Schumacher RF Brennan Leahy's running-juggling catch might
portend better defensive days ahead for this team. Captain Al Schumacher sends his thanks to the
Carberry infielder who threw wide to 1B on what should have been a tailor-made,
game-ending, ball-busting, case-buying, double-play grounder up the middle in
the bottom of the 7th. And as always,
Dan Starnicky did a great job umping the game.
PIE Northwest:
Krokos 7, Neylon 6
Team Krokos lead most of the game
but it was always close. In a defensive battle between two very good pitchers, first-year
man George Lefils out-dueled the veteran Frank Lonergan for the victory. The game came down to the bottom of the 7th,
tied 5-5, and Krokos’ first 3 hitters - James Golon, Larry Harris, and Bob
Kelleher - all reaching base to load ‘em up.
Dan "Double D" Dietterle steps to the plate, his mind no doubt
swirling with the thought of the broken finger that ended his season early last
year, and from a distance a young boy calls out, "Get a hit, Dad!" And with that DD delivers a go-ahead RBI
single, which Brian Donegan followed with an insurance RBI (which was needed) to
let Krokos eke out the victory.
Neylon was lead offensively by John
Pavesic (2-4, HR, 3RBIs), and Tom Cunningham, Tom Gwizdalski, and Tim Murphy
who all went 3-4. Web-gem nominee Brian Donegan played a heroic LF in the midst
of the 40-50 shirt-less, toothless, Irish footballers bashing skulls and
swiggin’ Bushmills. There was no umpire
at this field but Frank Lonergan and Richie Kevin called an excellent game in his
absence.
PIE Northeast: Phelan 7,
Hughes 6
The inaugural game at our new
field proved to be a real thriller, with Team Hughes jumping out to a quick 6-0
lead that had Team Phelan in a daze through 3 innings. Hughes got big bats from Chris McGinnis, Bill
Snoreck, and Brian Maliska, whose 3 run dinger almost did Phelan in
psychologically. Hughes also got stellar
defensive play from 3B Jim Burke & SS Ralph Soch, and solid pitching from John
Sanchez
Despite the absences of 2 key
outfielders (Jeff “The Iceman” Butler,
and Bob “Vegas, Baby!” Gorman), Phelan rebounded nicely in the 4th
inning behind the patchwork outfield of CF Brian “I usually play Right” Condon,
first-year player and LF Tim “This sucks! I told you I play infield!” Hannigan,
and first-year player and RF Mike “Hey, whatever” Larmon. Phelan was lead at the plate by first year
players Hannigan and Tom Martin and veterans Brian Kelley and Dom McAvoy. Pitcher Jerry Ashe threw an almost-gem that
was undone by some bad hops (and some bad defense), and he showed some
surprising, jaw-shattering strength of bat to start the game.
Team Phelan’s Brian Condon gets
the Web-gem
nomination for 2 diving grabs, one to stop the bleeding (in the 2nd)
and one to preserve the lead (in the 7th). Joe
Labuda did an excellent job of calling the game, which had to be the quickest
of the evening, allowing for maximum cooler management.
Week 1 Web-gem
Winner
Brian Condon from Team
Phelan for his 2 Web-gem performance.